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2017 is the implementation of the "thirteen five" an important year of planning, but also to promote the construction of textile power a key year. IMF and WTO respectively predicted 2017 world economy will grow 3.4% and 2.5%, are higher than the growth rate in 2016, the world economy will continue to improve the development of an important background. The domestic supply side of the structural reform in depth, macroeconomic stability to the good, will also become an important support for the development of the industry.
Looking back 2016, the textile industry in the "thirteen five" start of the year has made a lot of achievements, but also bear the internal and external double pressure. Industry in the depth of the transition period, how to sum up the results of the past year, and how to identify the growth in 2017 new impetus and new direction of development? To explore the answers to these questions, recently, the reporter on the China Textile Industry Federation Long Sun Ruizhe conducted an exclusive interview.
Industry changes show four new features
Reporter: Looking back 2016, China's textile industry, the development of what new changes and new features?
The domestic market, the policy adjustment and the need to upgrade, set off each other, change the situation; industry, technological innovation and model innovation, mutual blending, and so on. In the past 2016, the world stage, political events and economic fluctuations, mutual agitation, Synergistic evolution. In a world full of uncertainty, the industry is undergoing profound changes. Industry of these new changes and new features can be used "stable, change, financial, a" four words summarized.
"Stable" is the foundation. In the new direction of large and strong history, the industry's biggest change is to enter the "stable" as the important feature of the new normal. Under the new normal, relying on the physical advantages and system advantages, the industry's economic indicators tend to flat, showing L-type situation. Stable is the overall situation, is the main tone. Smooth development of the industry for the transformation and upgrading to set aside the space, but also created the conditions.
"Change" is normal. A new round of technological revolution and industrial change and the world's political and economic adjustment intertwined, deeply adjust the division of labor, reshape the competitive landscape, change the power contrast. Living in rapid changes, the depth of the association and full of uncertainty in the environment, industry butterfly effect is increasingly strengthened, "Black Swan" event became normal.
"Financial" is the trend. Line and offline integration; manufacturing and service integration; technology and fashion integration. Convergence is becoming an important source of competitive advantage in the industry. With the market, capital, network and culture as the link, to multinational corporations, industrial clusters, network platform as the carrier, to build a global, regional and distributed production system to achieve optimal allocation of resources and industry efficient organization is the current industry development important feature.
"Genesis" is power. Under the new situation, innovation has become an important driving force for the transformation and upgrading of the industry. Technology innovation, represented by materials technology, intelligent technology and green technology, is bringing new opportunities for the development of the industry. The innovation of the economy represented by the scene economy, the entertainment economy and the shared economy is introducing new impetus to the industry. At present, the industry innovation presents people-oriented, data-driven, responsibility-oriented, collaborative sharing of the four major trends.
Industry operations will continue to be L-type development
Reporter: 2016 textile industry development achievements and what is the main problem?
Sun Ruizhe: Overall, the industry in 2016 to maintain a slow stabilization, steady development momentum, continue to show L-type development trend. Industry profitability and stability, is still an important force to support the entire national economy. From January to November, the industrial added value of above-scale enterprises increased by 5.2% YoY, down by 1.2 percentage points from the same period of last year, down by 0.4 percentage points from the third quarter.
1 ~ 11 above the scale of textile enterprises to achieve the main business income of 66005.11 billion yuan, an increase of 4.23%, the growth rate slowed 0.8 percentage points over the same period last year; total profit of 344.573 billion yuan, an increase of 4.8% Year slowdown of 2 percentage points. The main categories of products, yarn production growth has accelerated, 1 to 11 above-scale enterprise production grew 6.2%, the growth rate over the same period last year to speed up 1.4 percentage points. Chemical fiber and cloth production growth slowed, 1 to 11 months of output growth of 3.8% and 2.3%, respectively, lower than the same period last year 8.9,0.4 percentage points; garment production fell 1.4%, lower than the same period last year increased Speed 3.6 percentage points.
Industry focus areas of running quality is getting better and better. From January to November, the profit margin of textile enterprises above designated size was 5.2%, higher than 0.02 percentage points in the same period of last year. The turnover rate of finished products was 21.4 times / year, and the total assets turnover rate was 1.6 times / year, respectively. 4.5% and 0.4%; the three fee ratio of 6%, down 0.1 percentage points over the same period last year. Industry chain terminal operation is good, indicating that the industry and the terminal market convergence is basically smooth.
From January to November, the industrial added value and profit of industrial textile industry increased by 9.6% and 10% respectively, and the profit margin was 6%, which was significantly higher than the industry average, and continued to play the role of new chain of industry chain. Clothing, textile industry to enhance the quality and brand building work to achieve results, 1 to 11 months sales margins were up to 5.6% and 6%, better than the industry level.
The growth of fixed assets investment in the textile industry has slowed down. 1 to 11 months the whole industry more than 5 million yuan project investment amount of 1158.55 billion yuan, an increase of 6.7%, but the growth rate over the same period last year decreased by 8.3 percentage points. Industrial chain investment growth in all sectors of the general slowdown. Among them, by the terminal demand is not busy and investment cyclical impact, home textiles, clothing, industrial industry investment growth over the same period last year, respectively, slowed 26.6,19.2 and 16.3 percentage points.
In the middle and central regions, the progress of industrial transfer slowed down. The investment amount in January and November increased by only 6.4% year on year, 7.5 percentage points lower than that of the same period of last year. The investment in the transformation and upgrading of the eastern enterprises slowed down and the investment amount increased by 7.3% The same period last year 9 percentage points; the western textile industry has accelerated, 1 to 11 months of investment increased by 19% year on year, higher than the same period last year growth rate of 0.1 percentage points, of which Xinjiang investment increased 1.5 times, The national textile industry 22.3%.
Textile and apparel goods domestic demand growth showed steady slow trend. According to the National Bureau of Statistics data, from January to November the national limit of clothing and footwear textile retail sales rose only 6.9% year on year, slower than the same period last year 3.2 percentage points. Online retail sales growth is also slowing down, 1 to 11 months of the national online retail sales of goods grew 17.9% year on year, down 5.6 percentage points over the same period last year.
Industry development momentum to accelerate the conversion. Experience the economy, sharing the economy, entertainment economy and other industries "new economy" vigorous development, integration of evolution, in the development of the industry played a very good lead and promote the role. For example: Bo Fort Long, Amoy factory, Antarctic electricity business and other enterprises in the sharing of economic aspects of a very good attempt. Two fusion to achieve rapid development. Industry medium-sized enterprises more than 70% of the application rate of information technology, spinning system automation testing, printing and dyeing online detection automatic distribution system, chemical fiber automatic packaging, clothing intelligent storage systems and other equipment has been applied. To red collar group, red bean group as the representative of the industry large-scale personalized model has been nearly 200 enterprises in the application.
Of course, China's textile industry is also facing many practical problems, such as investment growth constraints, lack of internal and external demand for dynamic support, PTA behind the production capacity is difficult to effectively withdraw. These problems are concentrated in the three contradictions: First, innovation and transformation and upgrading between the contradictions, mainly reflected in the independent innovation and integration of innovation capacity to be strengthened, low technological transformation rate, innovation system construction and operation mechanism is imperfect and so on ;
Second, the contradiction between the capacity structure and the effective demand, mainly reflected in the front of the industrial chain capacity structure is still not straighten out, the middle chain of product convergence phenomenon is widespread, the industrial chain terminal product supply and other aspects; Environmental constraints and economic development between the contradictions, mainly in the international and national strategic level of environmental pressures and some environmental regulatory measures are not perfect and so on. Industry power construction is still a long way to go.
Exports have fallen or narrowed
Reporter: 2016 years ago in November exports were negative growth, how do you judge the industry's annual export trend? How to further enhance China's textile industry's international competitiveness?
Sun Ruizhe: China's total exports of textiles and clothing in the period from January to November were 246.14 billion US dollars, down 6.6 percent year on year, down 0.9 percentage points from the same period last year, 0.6 percentage points slower than the third quarter. If the yuan-denominated, China's textile and apparel exports fell 1%. Textile and garment export prices affected by the appreciation of the dollar, 1 to 11 months down 7% year on year, exports increased 0.4% year on year. The reason for this situation is multifaceted.
But the main reason is that the world economic recovery is slow, the international market demand in the doldrums. In fact, the United States, Japan and other traditional consumer market, the scale of imports of textile and clothing are reduced to varying degrees. 1 to 10 months of China's exports of textiles and clothing in the United States and the EU market share fell 1.7 and 2.3 percentage points; 1 to 11 months in the Japanese market share fell 2.7 percentage points.
From the whole year, the external situation facing the textile industry is still complex, the British off Europe and other "black swan" event on the industry has not yet fully realized, the industry development is not control, uncertain factors are still more. Gradually increase the pressure on resources and environment, the rapid rise in the cost of production factors, increasingly complex international trade pattern, all constitute a pressure on the steady growth of the industry.
Although the pressure exists objectively, but we have confidence in the development, emboldened. China's textile industry huge production capacity and export scale, a complete production system and industry support, to build a stable development of the industry chassis. Supply side of the structural reform smoothly carried out to protect China's macroeconomic stability and growth for the development of the industry has provided an important support. "Along the way" strategy in depth, but also for the textile industry to develop the international market, stable market share, creating the conditions.
2016 is expected throughout the year the textile industry will maintain a smooth operation, slow stabilized, stable and good. In the cotton policy timely adjustment, cotton prices generally stable case, the annual textile industry industrial added value of about an increase of about 5.5%, the main business income increased by about 4%, total exports will continue to show negative growth, Narrowed.
Under the new situation, China's textile industry should make full use of the international and domestic markets, two kinds of resources, technological innovation as the starting point to promote innovation and development, intelligent manufacturing to promote lean development, , To the cultural self-confidence as the goal to promote the development of fashion, social responsibility as the focus to promote inclusive development, system construction as the core to promote linkage development.
New Year development around five areas
Reporter: textile industry, "thirteen five" plan has been released, do you think the next step in the development of the industry focus, philosophy and direction is what?
Sun Ruizhe: Around the "textile industry development plan (2016 - 2020)" development requirements, the new year, China's textile industry will be "innovation, coordination, green, open, sharing" five development concepts as a guide to improve the quality of development And efficiency as the center, to promote the supply side of the structural reform as the main line, to increase varieties, to mention quality, a brand as the focus, based on China's economic development and new directions and industry transformation and upgrading of the new normal, to speed up the traditional manufacturing industry to innovation Of the technology industry, the responsibility of the development of green industry and culture to lead the transformation of the fashion industry.
In 2017, the development of the textile industry will focus on the following five aspects:
First, enhance the ability to innovate. Promote the implementation of the "textile industry" thirteen five "scientific and technological progress", focusing on major industries and key technologies and application of basic research, accelerate the application of scientific and technological achievements, promote scientific and technological cooperation and innovation, strengthen the standard support system, promote textile technology and equipment, Independent innovation, product development level and ability to enhance the overall.
The second is to promote intelligent manufacturing. To promote the development of large-scale personalized customization; to promote the Internet, large data, cloud computing, Internet of Things in the textile industry integration applications, and promote the optimal allocation of elements of resources, to promote the development of large-scale customization, to promote the development of digital, intelligent equipment development, promote the development of intelligent workshop (production line) Manufacturing model and business model innovation, the formation of new economic development of textile economy.
Third, accelerate the development of green. Speed up the formation of the textile industry green manufacturing system to promote the widespread use of cleaner production technology to guide the breakthrough in a number of waste textile recycling key common technology to promote the recycling of textile fiber accounted for the proportion of total fiber processing continues to increase.
Fourth, to promote regional coordination. To play a leading role in the eastern region of the industry, and strive to move towards the high-end, to build industry international competitive new advantages; support the central and western regions of the textile industry development, improve the textile industry modern manufacturing system and characteristic industry system. Strengthen guidance, and promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial clusters. The use of two markets, two resources to enhance the level of international development of the industry.
Five is to enhance the strength of enterprises. To improve the quality and core competitiveness as the center, vigorously implement the "three products strategy." Optimize the product supply structure, the development of service-oriented manufacturing, improve the industry standard system, improve quality assurance capabilities. Guide enterprises to form their own advantages, carry forward the "artisan spirit" to strengthen the brand building, cultivate more "century old shop." Speed up the technological transformation of enterprises, strengthen enterprise management innovation, and promote the coordinated development of Dazhong Xiao enterprises.
Overall, the fundamentals of China's textile industry in 2017 will show three "will not change":
The general trend will not change. Strong production capacity, huge market space, a complete industrial system for the transformation and upgrading of the industry to provide a ballast stone; increasingly open external pattern, and constantly enrich the network ecology, rapid iterative business model, more industry development added new vitality. In 2017, the industry's overall trend of progress will not change.
The general situation will not change. Economic development is uncertain, uncontrollable factors increasing. Industry development is also facing the development of new and old, the development of space and the actual situation, the development of environmental benefits of the new situation. Industry long-term accumulation of the supply side, structural problems become increasingly prominent, remains to be resolved. 2017, the industry trend of the development of the twists and turns will not change.
The total tone will not change. A new round of technological revolution and industrial reform and the construction of China's textile industry is the formation of a historic intersection. Industry technology innovation and model innovation, mutual integration, synergistic evolution, and constantly enrich the value of the industry to create a model, providing opportunities and development across the development. In 2017, the industry will not change the overall tone of innovation.
At present, the industry is in a great journey of textile power construction, hope that all the workers in the textile industry can establish the heel, not forget the original; open horizons, facing the future; steady, innovative new; clear development of new directions, create a new era of industry The